Noroeste vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
TAB
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
NOR
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
PRI
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 3
BER
57%
25%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
BER
63%
22%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BER
0 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |