Noroeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 0
COM
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |