Noroeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
NOR
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
NOR
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SAO
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 0
COM
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 2
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
NOR
26%
26%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |