Noroeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
VOT
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
BAN
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 2
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
COM
40%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 2
COM
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |