Noroeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
INT
2 - 3
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 2
RIO
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 1
NOR
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ITA
53%
26%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INT
4 - 1
COM
34%
28%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |