Noroeste vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAT
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
4 - 0
GRÊ
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |