Noroeste vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOR
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
NOR
60%
20%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 1
PPE
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
5 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ITU
4 - 2
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |