Noroeste vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
UNI
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 3
AUD
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |