Paulista A3 Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Noroeste vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
OLI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
ATI
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 1
TAB
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 3
ATI
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
DES
4 - 4
ATI
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |