Normannia Gmünd vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
KEH
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
OFF
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAH
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STU
1 - 0
ULM
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
BAH
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 1
ILL
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VFR
1 - 1
ULM
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |