Normannia Gmünd vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 1
NOT
55%
25%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
VFR
1 - 0
NOR
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
4 - 1
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
AST
2 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
FRE
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ULM
1 - 1
KIR
85%
11%
5%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
ULM
3 - 1
NOT
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ULM
3 - 1
VFR
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 3
ULM
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ULM
3 - 2
AST
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |