Normannia Gmünd vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
BON
45%
25%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
VFR
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
REU
3 - 1
NOR
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 2
ULM
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ULM
1 - 1
WAL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 1
ULM
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |