Normannia Gmünd vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
14º
9º
24
9º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
OBE
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 3
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
REU
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 0
NOR
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
LEI
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 1
NOT
16%
17%
67%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
REU
0 - 1
TSV
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
BIS
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 2
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
FCZ
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |