Normannia Gmünd vs SV Fellbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+103%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
14º
13º
13
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 75 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 65 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 62 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 38 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 33 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 32 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 26 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
NOR
95%
4%
1%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 0
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 2
BIS
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Fellbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 1
NOT
18%
21%
60%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 0
SSV
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
SVF
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 0
NEC
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FVB
0 - 1
SVF
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |