Normannia Gmünd vs SG Sonnenhof Großaspach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
14º
10º
25
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 30% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
FSV
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
3 - 2
NOT
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
REU
1 - 4
SGS
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 0
BIS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 2
SGS
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 2
FCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |