Normannia Gmünd vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AST
0 - 1
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BON
1 - 3
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
NOR
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 0
REU
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 1
NOR
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ILL
3 - 1
BAH
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ILL
0 - 2
VFR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 0
NOT
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KEH
2 - 0
ILL
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |