Normannia Gmünd vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
14º
10º
14
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
NOR
95%
4%
1%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REU
3 - 0
FSV
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
3 - 1
BIS
38%
21%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GOP
7 - 0
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 1
TSB
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |