Nordstrand vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
1º
29
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFK
1 - 6
NOR
14%
16%
70%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 6
NOR
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
KFU
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
ULL
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 2
AIF
86%
9%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 1
ULL
43%
21%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ULL
5 - 1
SKE
66%
17%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |