Nordstrand vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
2º
38
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 6
NOR
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
KFU
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
6 - 1
SKE
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
GOF
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
15%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ULL
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |