Nordstrand vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
1º
31
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 6
NOR
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
KFU
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
6 - 1
SKE
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
GOF
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
15%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ULL
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
17%
21%
62%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |