Nordstern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
NOB
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SIO
3 - 2
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 0
LAU
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
NOB
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
STG
3 - 1
SIO
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
ZUR
0 - 0
STG
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
STG
5 - 3
VEV
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
SER
4 - 1
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
STG
4 - 1
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |