Nordstern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
BUL
1 - 2
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NOB
3 - 1
VEV
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
LAU
0 - 0
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
GCZ
1 - 0
NOB
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
NOB
0 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 4
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
FCL
3 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
4 - 1
BUL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |