Nordstern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
3 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
NOB
1 - 0
SIO
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
NOB
4 - 1
YOB
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +3 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 3
ZUR
17%
27%
57%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
SER
4 - 0
NOB
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
BUL
1 - 0
BAS
12%
23%
65%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
FCL
2 - 2
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
5 - 2
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |