Nordstern vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SIO
3 - 2
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 0
LAU
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
NOB
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOB
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
4 - 0
SIO
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 2
BEL
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 4
SER
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
SIO
3 - 1
BEL
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
NEX
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |