Nordstern vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
FCL
0 - 2
NOB
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
SER
15%
26%
59%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
NEX
1 - 1
NOB
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 2
BAS
13%
23%
65%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
CHI
4 - 3
NOB
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BEL
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCL
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
SER
0 - 1
BEL
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 0
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |