Nordsjaelland vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
7º
6º
12
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 44 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 39 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 36 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 27 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 15 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 12 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
79% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIF
4 - 1
FCN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
LYN
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VEJ
0 - 1
FCN
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 10
RAN
4%
11%
86%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 2
RAN
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
SON
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 2
SIF
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |