Nordsjaelland vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
8º
6º
14
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 44 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 23 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
58.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIF
4 - 1
FCN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
LYN
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VEJ
0 - 1
FCN
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 2
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
AAB
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 0
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
VFF
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
FCK
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SON
0 - 2
FCK
25%
23%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |