Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
5º
28
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 1
FCN
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 1
VFF
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
RAN
4 - 0
FCN
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
FCN
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
SIF
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCK
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 3
AGF
12%
19%
70%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 1
LYN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
46%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BIF
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |