Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
FCN
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 1
BIF
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 1
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIF
2 - 1
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 3
FCN
20%
22%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 3
AAF
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 1
AAF
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
AKA
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |