Nordsjaelland vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
7º
4º
6
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 42 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 38 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 36 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 27 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 27 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 18 |
11º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 13 |
12º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
91% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
6 - 1
FCN
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 3
FCN
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
FCN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 3
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 0
FCN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAB
1 - 4
VFF
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 3
AAB
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
AAB
15%
19%
66%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AAB
4 - 1
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 3
AAB
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |