Merani Tbilisi vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
66
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
MER
4 - 2
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
DIN
20%
22%
59%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
8 - 4
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
KOL
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 7
KOL
11%
19%
71%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 5
GAR
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
SPA
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |