Merani Tbilisi vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
66
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 5
DIN
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 0
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 5
KOL
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
KOL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
KOL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 2
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 3
GAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
SPA
17%
21%
61%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |