Merani Tbilisi vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
LOK
48%
22%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
SIO
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
GAR
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 0
WIT
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 1
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 0
GAR
31%
25%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
5 - 0
SPA
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |