Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
SHA
4 - 4
NOR
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
BAK
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
TSK
3 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 2
VOY
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
MZI
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
APK
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
IBE
0 - 2
GAG
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 1
SHA
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 3
GAG
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
0 - 4
TSK
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |