Merani Tbilisi vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
6 - 1
NOR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 3
WIT
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
5 - 1
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
KOL
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 2
SIO
22%
24%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 0
GAR
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
SIO
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
DBA
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |