Merani Tbilisi vs Guria Lanchkhuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 3
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 3
SAM
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHI
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SOK
0 - 4
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
4 - 1
SKU
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guria Lanchkhuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
GUR
3 - 0
IME
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GUR
2 - 0
ADE
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GUR
3 - 0
SAM
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
GUR
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GUR
5 - 2
SOK
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |