Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
IME
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
SUL
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
NOR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chkherimela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHK
1 - 0
IME
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
SUL
1 - 0
CHK
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHK
2 - 0
ADE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
0 - 0
CHK
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CHK
3 - 0
MER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |