Merani Tbilisi vs Apkhazeti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
10.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
IBE
3 - 3
NOR
23%
19%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
GAG
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SHA
4 - 4
NOR
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
BAK
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
TSK
3 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Apkhazeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2015 |
APK
10 - 2
IBE
38%
20%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
APK
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
APK
4 - 2
SHA
49%
20%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 3
APK
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
APK
0 - 5
TSK
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | 0 |