Merani Tbilisi vs Adeli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CHK
1 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
STU
1 - 4
NOR
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MES
1 - 2
NOR
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
IME
5 - 2
NOR
47%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Adeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
ADE
2 - 2
IME
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SUL
3 - 0
ADE
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
ADE
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 2
CHK
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
ADE
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |