VV Noordwijk vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
15º
15º
9
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VV Noordwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOO
0 - 1
GVV
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
NOO
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 4
NOO
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOO
4 - 0
DET
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
NOO
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
HHC
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HHC
1 - 5
RIJ
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
HHC
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HHC
3 - 1
SPA
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
HHC
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |