Nõmme United vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
10º
10º
28
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
NOM
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
TAM
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
NOM
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 0
KAL
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOM
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 2
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
TAL
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
3 - 0
TAL
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |