Nõmme United vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
10º
10º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 72 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 99% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
9 - 0
KJL
91%
7%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
KAL
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOM
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 1
NOM
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
OSI
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OSI
5 - 1
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KUR
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
FAS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 2
LEV
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |