Nõmme United vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
10º
10º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 72 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
TAL
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
NOM
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
LEV
27%
24%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
5 - 1
KUR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MAA
0 - 12
KUR
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | +1 |