Nõmme United vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
12.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 5
NOM
5%
10%
85%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
VOR
2 - 2
NOM
15%
17%
69%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NOM
3 - 1
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
NOM
1 - 4
TAM
55%
19%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NOM
2 - 7
TJK
40%
22%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
JKJ
0 - 1
TAM
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
JKJ
1 - 1
FCP
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 7
JKJ
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 3
JKJ
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
JKJ
2 - 0
PAI
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |