Nõmme United vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
10º
10º
58
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
NOM
36%
23%
41%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
NOM
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
TRA
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
FLO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 3
FLO
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
KUR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |