Nõmme United vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
52
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TAB
1 - 3
NOM
25%
21%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 0
LEV
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 0
PIR
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
NOM
37%
22%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
NOM
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 1
JKJ
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCE
4 - 3
FCT
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
MAA
0 - 3
FCT
7%
12%
81%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 1
VJK
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
TAB
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |