Nomme Kalju vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
3º
2º
42
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
KAL
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 3
KAL
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
FLO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
NOM
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 3
PAI
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 3
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
TRA
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |