Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Nomme Kalju vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 1
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 1
TAL
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
TUL
0 - 2
KAL
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
KAL
4 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SIK
2 - 0
KAL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 1
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
SKB
1 - 2
DIN
32%
27%
40%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
JFK
1 - 1
DIN
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
RIG
0 - 3
DIN
41%
26%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 0
VEN
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |