Nomme Kalju III vs Otepää analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomme Kalju III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
FCF
2 - 3
KAL
36%
23%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
KAL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 2
VEL
13%
17%
69%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 1
TFA
33%
23%
44%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
KAL
14 - 0
KAL
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 66 | 59 | -1 |
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
OTE
0 - 2
RAK
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
OTE
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
FCF
0 - 3
OTE
12%
17%
72%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
OTE
2 - 1
TDU
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
OTE
0 - 1
TAR
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |