Nõmme Kalju II vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 4
NOM
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOM
5 - 1
KAI
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TDU
1 - 4
NOM
34%
23%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NOM
1 - 2
TJK
70%
17%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAA
1 - 2
NOM
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 2
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
PAR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 2
VOR
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |