Nõmme Kalju II vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 1
NOM
35%
22%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 3
NOM
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
TJK
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 1
NOM
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
6 - 2
JFP
67%
18%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 0
FCP
76%
14%
9%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 1
LAH
20%
18%
63%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 2
FAT
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JFP
0 - 0
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TUL
2 - 3
FCP
80%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |